PSE Ticker

Friday, July 3, 2015

Market Talk (SMC, BDO, SECB, RCB, EDC, FLI, NIKL)

Banks: Several parties interested in UCPB sale. The Businessworld reported the UCPB sale has garnered interest in several new parties. Conglomerate San Miguel Corp (SMC – Not rated) is said to join the bidding, together with US private equity companies CAP IV Engagement Limited (an affiliate of Carlyle Asia Partners IV), Lone Star Funds, and TPG Capital Management. Likewise, foreign lender Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc of Japan is also reportedly interested. Previously, BDO Unibank, Inc (BDO – BUY), Security Bank Corp (SECB – BUY), Rizal Commercial Banking Corp (RCB – BUY) and Robinsons Bank had indicated their interest in UCPB. The government agency tasked to sell UCPB said there are 12 letters of intent to bid that were submitted, of which four came from foreign firms. 

Utilities: EDC to spend PHP58b for Leyte expansion. Energy Development Corp (EDC-BUY) said in its disclosure it intends to spend PHP58b in the next 25-30 years for the expansion of its Leyte Geothermal Project (LGP) by adding 7,106ha to the current 7,400ha. EDC seeks to amend its current environmental compliance certificate (ECC) to include additional areas outside the existing geothermal block, specifically for the drilling of required replacement wells over the next 25-30 years. The existing 700MW, as per the current ECC, will be maintained. 

Utilities: Electricity power of choice, soon. According to the Businessworld, as the Department of Energy (DoE) moves to expand coverage of the retail competition and open access (RCOA) regime by the mid-2016, establishments that consume less than 1MW each month will soon be allowed to choose their own electricity suppliers. When initial implementation began two years ago, the RCOA covered only “contestable customers” (CCs) with monthly average consumption of at least 1MW after accreditation with the Energy Regulatory Commission (ERC). In the latest circular the DoE directed all CCs with 750-999kW average monthly use in the past year to secure retail supply contracts with suppliers by 25 June 2016. At the same time, existing customers covered by RCOA have been directed to secure contracts with suppliers instead of staying with their respective distribution utilities indefinitely.

Property: FLI wins bid for lot in Cebu SRP. Filinvest Land Inc (FLI-BUY) won the bidding for lot no 1 which spans 19 hectares in South Road Properties (SRP), Cebu. FLI plans to follow the bidding guidelines which states that 70% of the buildable area will be for commercial and office while the remaining 30% will be for residential projects. The project will complement FLI’s City di Mare project in Cebu. Consumer: URC commissions 46MW biomass plant. BusinessWorld Online reports Universal Robina Corp (URC – BUY) has commissioned its 46MW biomass power facility in Negros Occidental, Visayas. Output of the PHP2.52b facility will be used mainly to power URC’s sugar mills in Negros but part will be dispatched to the national electricity grid. The biomass plant uses bagasse as its primary input, a by-product of URC’s 9k ton-per-day sugar mill in the municipality of Kabankalan. We expect URC’s biomass plant to contribute PHP350m to EBIT annually under the commodity foods group. 

Mining: SEC approves NIKL’s 100% stock dividend. Nickel Asia Corp (NIKL – BUY) disclosed the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approved yesterday the company’s increase in authorized capital leading to the approval of an earlier declaration of 100% stock dividend. This translates to 3.8b new common shares to be issued at par of PHP0.50. Consequently, our EPS forecasts will be halved to PHP1.16/PHP1.96/PHP2.75 in 2015F/16F/17F while our target price will likewise by halved to PHP16.92 from PHP33.85. Record date is set on 16 July with payment on 11 August.  

- Maybank ATR

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